Early-stage founders simply can’t get away from TAM — the idea of getting a complete addressable marketplace for their startup to disrupt and conquer. However Index Ventures accomplice Jahanvi Sardana has a reminder for all these founders anxious about discovering TAM for his or her services or products: Many startups have emerged from markets that, on the time, had been basically nonexistent.
“What was the marketplace for search earlier than Google?” Sardana requested the viewers at TechCrunch’s 2025 All Stage occasion in Boston, held earlier this month. “What was the marketplace for working methods earlier than Microsoft, or the marketplace for cloud earlier than Amazon?”
Sardana compares TAM to browsing. Each few years, there are huge waves founders should experience — first got here the web, then the cellular wave, then the cloud, and now, she mentioned, the largest wave of all: synthetic intelligence.
“Have you ever formed the fitting product to experience this wave?” she continued. “That’s what we name product-market match.”
Which TAM bucket are you in?
Sardana locations TAM into three buckets: identified market, rising market, and invisible market.
The primary, identified market, already exists, and it’s when a founder seeks to switch a legacy incumbent and should show to an investor why their startup thought is best.
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“Everybody brushes their enamel,” she mentioned. “You need to inform me why you’re constructing a greater toothbrush.”
The rising market is when a sure sector of the market is utilizing a product, and there’s potential for it to go mainstream.
“Take into consideration non-alcoholic beer earlier than it turned cool,” Sardana mentioned.
Then there’s the invisible market, which Sardana calls “the largest lure,” and “additionally a bit of little bit of a darkish artwork.”
The market doesn’t exist, and a founder has to basically create one and supply buyers with proof of how revolutionary they are often.
“Take into consideration smartphones in 2006; no one knew they needed them and so they modified the world,” she mentioned, later including that “individuals don’t know what they’re on the lookout for and generally it’s a must to present them what’s doable.”
The viewers at All Stage, a lot of whom are early-stage founders, peppered Sardana with questions, largely about what buyers wish to see. As an illustration, do buyers wish to see a TAM slide in a pitch deck?
“It’s OK to create that slide and discuss in regards to the math behind your TAM,” Sardana mentioned, although she added that generally buyers get aggravated when founders rely an excessive amount of on business metrics reasonably than having their very own distinctive perception. Sardana additionally cautioned founders to not rely an excessive amount of on business reviews. If a founder is just too depending on an exterior service to dictate how they consider the market, it could actually sign that they haven’t thought deeply in regards to the market they’re making an attempt to construct in, she commented.
“How do you dimension the TAM within the marketplaces, particularly large marketplaces?” one viewers member requested.
“Properly, that query hurts,” Sardana quipped. In spite of everything, Index as soon as handed on Airbnb, having believed its TAM was too small.
“The fact is Airbnb created a complete new stock, which is now larger than a number of the largest resort manufacturers, and that led to a giant change in conduct on how individuals journey,” she mentioned, including that market TAMs are difficult. “You wish to concentrate on, once more, what’s unlocking provide, and when you unlock the provision, how will conduct change?”
The viewers additionally requested Sardana what makes an organization stand out to an investor like herself.
A tricky one, Sardana mentioned, however a very necessary one. In the end, if a founder can perceive who the client is and why they’re prepared to buy their product, then an organization shouldn’t have any drawback standing as much as buyers, she added.
“We’re within the enterprise of evaluating founders greater than markets or merchandise or the rest,” she mentioned. “If you discuss your market, it’s actually a lens in your ambition.”
